-Matematika e thot\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb: LSDM-BDI-Aleanca: 23 p\u00ebr qind besim t\u00eb qytetar\u00ebve, t\u00eb cilat dalin fituese p\u00ebr krijimin e qeveris\u00eb, kundrejt nj\u00eb koalicioni t\u00eb mundsh\u00ebm VMRO-E Majta- me 21 p\u00ebr qind,( me Bes\u00ebn: 22%, por pakkush beson se nj\u00eb parti shqiptare mund t\u2019i bashk\u00ebngjitet nj\u00eb koalicioni ku \u00ebsht\u00eb E Majta)<\/p>\n
(Analiz\u00eb e portalit indeks.mk)<\/p>\n
Pas shpalljes s\u00eb rezultateve t\u00eb anket\u00ebs s\u00eb Institutit Demokratik Komb\u00ebtar (NDI) dhe Institutit p\u00ebr Demokraci \u201cSocietas Civilis\u201d \u2013 Shkup (IDSCS) dhe Qendr\u00ebs p\u00ebr Menaxhim me Ndryshime (QMN), mund t\u00eb nxirren shum\u00eb p\u00ebrfundime interesante. Edhe pse anketa kishte p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb shum\u00eb aspekte, gj\u00ebja e pare q\u00eb e t\u00ebrheq v\u00ebmendjen e publikut \u00ebsht\u00eb se \u00e7far\u00eb mund t\u00eb presin nga zgjedhjet e ardhshme, kush mund t\u00eb fitoj\u00eb, kush mund t\u00eb b\u00ebj\u00eb qeveri. <\/p>\n
P\u00ebr fituesit e atyre zgjedhjeve, nuk ka shum\u00eb dilem\u00eb, deri tash \u00e7do anket\u00eb e ka treguar, edhe k\u00ebsaj radhe po ashtu: n\u00eb bllokun maqedonas \u00ebsht\u00eb VMRO-ja(17%) kundrejt LSDM-s\u00eb(12%), n\u00eb bllokun shqiptar, Bashkimi Demokratik p\u00ebr Integrim(8%), e ndjekur nga Aleanca p\u00ebr Shqiptar\u00ebt(3 p\u00ebr qind. Mir\u00ebpo, midis k\u00ebtyre dy p\u00ebrqindjeve t\u00eb besimit, fshihet edhe e panjohura tjet\u00ebr: kush mund t\u00eb krijoj\u00eb koalicionin qeveritar? Nisur nga besimi i shprehur te partit\u00eb tjera, nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb kurrfar\u00eb garancie se VMRO-DPMNE-ja mund t\u00eb b\u00ebj\u00eb qeveri, p\u00ebrderisa ajo do t\u00eb varej nga nj\u00eb parti ekstremiste, si E Majta, q\u00eb n\u00eb anket\u00eb ka 4% besim. Kjo do t\u00eb thot\u00eb se bashk\u00ebrisht mund t\u00eb arrijn\u00eb 21 p\u00ebr qind, pasi n\u00eb anket\u00eb nuk ka ndonj\u00eb parti tjet\u00ebr q\u00eb mund t\u2019i bashk\u00ebngjitet k\u00ebtij \u201ckoalicioni\u201d t\u00eb supozuar. Eventualisht mund t\u2019i bashk\u00ebngjitet L\u00ebvizja Besa, q\u00eb ka koketuar deri tash me VMRO-n\u00eb, por, 1-p\u00ebrqind\u00ebshi i besimit t\u00eb saj nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb i mjaftuesh\u00ebm q\u00eb ta nxjerr\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb koalicion si fitues p\u00ebr krijimin e ekzekutivit t\u00eb ardhsh\u00ebm.<\/p>\n
Pik\u00eb e dob\u00ebt e k\u00ebtij koalicioni, gjithsesi \u00ebsht\u00eb var\u00ebsia nga E Majta, me t\u00eb cil\u00ebn besojm\u00eb se do t\u00eb hezitonte bashk\u00ebpunimin vet\u00eb VMRO-ja, e l\u00ebre m\u00eb nj\u00eb parti shqiptare q\u00eb t\u2019i lejonte vetes t\u00eb hynte bashk\u00eb me T\u00eb Majt\u00ebn! <\/p>\n
Ndryshe q\u00ebndron puna n\u00eb bllokun e tash\u00ebm qeveritar: LSDM-ja, BDI-ja dhe Aleanca(3 p\u00ebr qind) mund t\u00eb arrijn\u00eb te dy poena m\u00eb shum\u00eb, pra, 23 p\u00ebrqind, duke mos p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb edhe ndonj\u00eb subjekt tjet\u00ebr nga 1 p\u00ebrqind\u00ebshi i \u201ct\u00eb tjerave\u201d, ku mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb edhe Alternativa e Afrim Gashit. <\/p>\n
Anketa n\u00eb terren u zbatua n\u00eb periudh\u00ebn 22 shkurt \u2013 9 mars t\u00eb vitit 2023 tek 1.002 t\u00eb anketuar mbi 18-vje\u00e7ar\u00eb n\u00eb t\u00ebr\u00eb territorin e shtetit, p\u00ebrmes metod\u00ebs fytyr\u00eb n\u00eb fytyr\u00eb ka dhe t\u00eb fshehtat tjera. Kjo para s\u00eb gjithash shihet te numri tejet i lart\u00eb (26 p\u00ebr qind) i atyre q\u00eb kan\u00eb deklaruar se s\u2019do t\u00eb votojn\u00eb dhe t\u00eb atyre q\u00eb nuk jan\u00eb p\u00ebrcaktuar(poashtu 26 p\u00ebr qind) se p\u00ebr k\u00eb do t\u00eb votojn\u00eb. Kjo e b\u00ebn betej\u00ebn elektorale m\u00eb t\u00eb fort\u00eb te \u00e7do parti p\u00ebr t\u2019i afruar k\u00ebta hamend\u00ebsues e mosbesues, si nj\u00eb peshore vendimtare t\u00eb fatit t\u00eb tyre politik.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
-Matematika e thot\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb: LSDM-BDI-Aleanca: 23 p\u00ebr qind besim t\u00eb qytetar\u00ebve, t\u00eb cilat dalin fituese p\u00ebr krijimin e qeveris\u00eb, kundrejt nj\u00eb koalicioni t\u00eb mundsh\u00ebm VMRO-E<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[44],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7452","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-maqedoni"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/indeks.bilten.mk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7452","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/indeks.bilten.mk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/indeks.bilten.mk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/indeks.bilten.mk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/14"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/indeks.bilten.mk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7452"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/indeks.bilten.mk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7452\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/indeks.bilten.mk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7452"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/indeks.bilten.mk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7452"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/indeks.bilten.mk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7452"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}